Author: Carsten Held , Gottfried M-GV Vosgerau , Markus Knauff
Series: Advances in Psychology (Book 138)
Publisher: North Holland; 1 edition (April 14, 2006)
Forecasting Financial Markets provides a compelling insight into the psychology of trading behavior and shows how “following the herd” can have disastrous results. It demonstrates how one’s ability to make money in the world’s financial markets depends critically on an ability to make decisions independently of the crowd.
Tony Plummer details the three dimensions essential to achieve successful trading, including an ability to understand the forces at work in logical terms, recognize (and neutralize) any emotional responses to market fluctuations, and design an investment process or trading system that generates objective “buy” or “sell” signals.
Taking the author’s latest research into account, this book provides an in-depth assessment of the phenomenon of cycles, patterns of economic and financial activity, and how to use cycles as a forecasting tool. It includes Plummer’s forecasts for when the global economy will emerge from its current downturn.”Cognitive psychology,” “cognitive neuroscience,” and “philosophy of mind” are names for three very different scientific fields, but they label aspects of the same scientific goal: to understand the nature of mental phenomena. Today, the three disciplines strongly overlap under the roof of the cognitive sciences. The book’s purpose is to present views from the different disciplines on one of the central theories in cognitive science: the theory of mental models. Cognitive psychologists report their research on the representation and processing of mental models in human memory. Cognitive neuroscientists demonstrate how the brain processes visual and spatial mental models and which neural processes underlie visual and spatial thinking. Philosophers report their ideas about the role of mental models in relation to perception, emotion, representation, and intentionality. The single articles have different and mutually complementing goals: to introduce new empirical methods and approaches, to report new experimental results, and to locate competing approaches for their interpretation in the cross-disciplinary debate. The book is strongly interdisciplinary in character. It is especially addressed to researchers in any field related to mental models theory as both a reference book and an overview of present research on the topic in other disciplines. However, it is also an ideal reader for a specialized graduate course.
Examines the theory of mental models from the perspectives of cognitive psychology, cognitive neuroscience and philosophy of the mind
Introduces new empirical methods, experimental results, and interdisciplinary yet complementary approaches
Serves as a reference book and an overview of current research
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